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Some more Bubbly? Bonds?

Hey Gang, There has been alot of talk surfacing about another market bubble. This time in the government bond market. I have attached the view of one market blogger below. It gives some insight into how to play the potential bubble. Personally, I am not yet convinced that the bubble is ready to burst. Techncial signs of a severe pullback are still rather weak, but the charts posted below are ones that I keep a constant eye on. Happy Trades, Jeff Numerous bloggers and analysts have declared that the latest […]

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A look at Oil…

Hey Gang, Over the past several months, we have been witness to a historic slide in oil prices. While we can’t complain when we arrive at the pump…let’s take a look at it from an investment standpoint. Below are 2 charts. The 1st is a 20 year look at oil. The $40.00 price level was as major long term resistance level for years. There is a high probability that it turns into support and we are fast approaching. The 2nd chart is a daily view showing a sharp downward channel. […]

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Sector Rotation Model

Hey Gang, In the Grad call, we discussed the sector rotation model to determine how money flows through sectors during different times of the market cycle. Below is a copy of the model with the performance of various sectors over the past 2 weeks. According to the money flows, we are starting to see the early recovery stage of the market. During the past 2 weeks, very negative economic news has also failed to push the market to new lows. In order to really understand the sector rotation model the […]

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Land Prices

I have heard alot over the past 2 years about how land values and home values are ready to cease their slide.  Bernanke, Paulson, CNBC, Bush, Bloomberg…have all made statements of a recovery.  Many times have their recovery dates come an gone, yet new recovery dates continue to be guessed at. I am not trying to be a pessimist, but it is important to learn from economic history.  Japan is not too far removed from a very similar situation that we are in currently.  The Japanese recovery is still ongoing […]

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