Dec
20

THE OVER-HOUSED ECONOMY

THE OVER-HOUSED ECONOMY In a recent analysis summary Torto Wheaton Research concluded that a major factor in the housing markets and how soon they would return to more normal markets is the number of vacant homes in the United States.  This inventory of 18 million vacant homes (including seasonal homes) represents 14% of the total housing stock. New foreclosures that are taken back by lenders add to the supply and houses sold and occupied by owners or tenants reduce the supply.  New homes finished by home builders, of course, add […]

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Dec
20

SENIOR HOUSING DEMANDS

SENIOR HOUSING DEMANDS A recent article in “Commercial Property News” reports that by 2010 there will be 100 million people in the U.S. over 50 and that seniors are more active than earlier generations and are demanding different kinds of retirement housing than in the past. The senior’s housing industry is changing from a need-driven market to a choice-driven model according to the article.  Today’s seniors expect more choices and are looking for larger living units with more amenities including spa/wellness centers, media rooms and theaters, libraries, off site transportation […]

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Dec
13

THE GREAT REAL ESTATE CREDIT FREEZE OF 2007

The article below by Anthony Downs, one of the most highly respected real estate economists in theU.S. just appeared in the December issue of the “National Real Estate Investorâ€?.  It provides some excellent background and observations about what is happening today in commercial real estate financing. THE GREAT REAL ESTATE CREDIT FREEZE OF 2007 By Anthony Downs     Dec 1, 2007 12:00 PM By late October 2007, U.S. credit markets for most real estate lending became almost frozen because of uncertainty among both lenders and borrowers about how to value specific […]

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Dec
6

SILVER LINING IN COMMERCIAL LOAN DARK CLOUD

With all the negative news about the residential loan markets and the fact that some of that “bleeds through” to the commercial loan markets it is nice to hear some good news about commercial loans.  As investors who formerly bought bonds backed by residential loan portfolios have “fled to safety” in the form of U.S. Governmernt Securities they have driven the prices of those securities up and the yields down.  One of those securities represented by the 10 Year Treasury Index has fallen from a rate of over 5.00% to […]

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